Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.78%).
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro |
| 53.4% | 25.68% | 20.92% |
| Both teams to score 45.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% | 56.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% | 77.86% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% | 21.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% | 54.38% |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.61% | 42.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Penarol 53.4%
Cerro 20.92%
Draw 25.67%
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 4.76% 4-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.14% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.08% Total : 20.92% |


