Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Vitoria
63.99% ( 0.05)	20.96% ( -0.02)	15.05% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.89% (

0.04)

47.1% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

0.04)

69.34% (

-0.04)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98% (

0.03)

14.02% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.43% (

0.06)

41.57% (

-0.05)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.35% (

-0.01)

43.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.16% (

-0.01)

79.83% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 63.98%

Vitoria 15.05%

Draw 20.96%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 63.98%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.96%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.05%