MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 14:29:01| >> :60:28:28:
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Corinthians

Racing
2 - 1
Corinthians

Quintero (36' pen., 39')
Garcia Basso (58'), Rojas (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alberto (6')
Torres (9'), Bidu (80'), Bidon (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Racing Club and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banfield 2-1 Racing
Sunday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Racing Club 1-1 Corinthians (Corinthians advances on penalties)

We anticipate that this may not be such a wide-open or free-flowing match with so much at stake, but we believe Corinthians' experience in the semi-finals last year will serve them well and enable them to right the wrongs from 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawCorinthians
58.07% (0.131 0.13) 24.35% (0.149 0.15) 17.59% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 43.85% (-0.87 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-0.899 -0.9)56.12% (0.903 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (-0.734 -0.73)77.19% (0.73700000000001 0.74)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)19.2% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (-0.486 -0.49)50.89% (0.489 0.49)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.27% (-0.875 -0.88)45.73% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.49% (-0.694 -0.69)81.51% (0.696 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 58.05%
    Corinthians 17.59%
    Draw 24.34%
Racing ClubDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.48% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 11.95% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 58.05%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.301 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 17.59%

How you voted: Racing vs Corinthians

Racing Club
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Corinthians
25.0%
36
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Corinthians
2-2
Racing
Alberto (11', 33')
Depay (75')
Salas (6'), Martirena (54')
Ignacio Nardoni (71'), Martinez (82'), Arias (82')
Feb 28, 2019 12.30am
First stage
Racing
1-1
Corinthians
(Aggregate 1-1 | Corinthians win 5-4 on penalties)
Cristaldo (42')
Schlegel (31')
Love (51')
Henrique (31'), Pedrinho (34')
Feb 14, 2019 11.30pm
First stage
Corinthians
1-1
Racing
Gustavo (88')
Love (15'), Ramiro (45')
Rios (23')
Saravia (58'), Cardozo (65'), Solari (74'), Sigali (88')
rhs 2.0
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