Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Oct 27, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Heriberto Hulse
Sao Paulo

Criciuma
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Vizeu (21', 21')
Araujo da Costa Junior (39'), Araujo da Costa Junior (39'), Jonathan (89'), Jonathan (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Liziero (87', 87')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Criciuma and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Criciuma

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Criciuma
Saturday, October 19 at 12am in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Vasco
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
CriciumaDrawSao Paulo
28.91% (0.146 0.15)28.05% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)43.04% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.87% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.19% (0.39100000000001 0.39)59.81% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (0.299 0.3)80.09% (-0.298 -0.3)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.332 0.33)36.69% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.332 0.33)73.48% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.16 0.16)27.54% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.204 0.2)63.06% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Criciuma 28.9%
    Sao Paulo 43.04%
    Draw 28.04%
CriciumaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.55% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.9%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 13.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 43.04%

Head to Head
Jun 28, 2024 12am
Gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
2-1
Criciuma
Alisson (2'), Luciano (22')
Zubeldia (19'), Ronald (27'), Araujo da Costa Junior (61')
Arthur (90+3')
Gabriel (14'), Ronald (21'), Arboleda (35'), Luciano (79')
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