Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Criciuma
66.42% ( 0.08)	20.36% ( -0.02)	13.21% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 45.61% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.63% (

-0.05)

48.37% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.49% (

-0.04)

70.51% (

0.05)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31% (

0.01)

13.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.1% (

0.02)

40.9% (

-0.02)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84% (

-0.12)

47.16% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.4% (

-0.09)

82.6% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bahia 66.42%

Criciuma 13.21%

Draw 20.36%

Bahia	Draw	Criciuma
1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 66.42%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 20.36%	0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 13.21%