Copa Sudamericana
-
Lucas Braga
17'
-
Matheuzinho
76'
-
Gregori Anangono
12'
-
Jesus Luis Castillo Saa
19'
-
Jeronimo Cacciabue
37'
-
Azarias Londono
54'
-
Jesus Luis Castillo Saa
64'
-
Johan David Lara Medrano
90'+4'
Vitoria vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result
Vitoria
42.62%
▼
(-1.37)
Draw
26.65%
▲
(+0.33)
Universidad Catolica
30.73%
▲
(+1.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.78%
▼
(-0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.02%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 2.5
53.98%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 3.5
24.58%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 3.5
75.42%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 4.5
11.09%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 4.5
88.91%
▲
(+0.46)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
74.92%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 0.5
25.08%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 1.5
40.23%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 1.5
59.77%
▲
(+1.50)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5
67.77%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 0.5
32.23%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 1.5
31.28%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
68.72%
▼
(-0.36)
Score analysis
Vitoria
42.61%
Draw
26.64%
Universidad Catolica
30.73%
Vitoria
1-0
@
11.17%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.61%
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.61%
Draw
1-1
@
12.65%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.64%
0-0 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.64%
Universidad Catolica
0-1
@
9.15%
▲
(+0.38)
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.73%
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.73%