Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 25, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Governador Joao Castelo Ribeiro Goncalves

Maranhao
0 - 1
Vitoria


dos Santos (12'), (37'), Neris (45+1'), de Santana Barros (58'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baralhas (81')
Neris (37'), Moises de Lima (85'), Rato (88')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Maranhao and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Flamengo 2-2 Vitoria
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Juventude vs. Vitoria
Friday, March 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Maranhao win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Vitoria has a probability of 32.03% and a draw has a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maranhao win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Vitoria win is 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
MaranhaoDrawVitoria
39.96% (-1.541 -1.54)28% (0.568 0.57)32.03% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 47.24% (-1.32 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.31% (-1.815 -1.82)58.68% (1.816 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77% (-1.434 -1.43)79.23% (1.435 1.43)
Maranhao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-1.715 -1.72)28.7% (1.717 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-2.193 -2.19)64.53% (2.195 2.2)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)33.74% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.275 -0.28)70.4% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Maranhao 39.96%
    Vitoria 32.03%
    Draw 28%
MaranhaoDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 9.68% (0.648 0.65)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.634 0.63)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.03%

rhs 2.0


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