Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
40.72% ( 2.43)	27.19% ( 0.3)	32.09% ( -2.72)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-1.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.34% (

-1.67)

55.66% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.19% (

-1.38)

76.81% (

1.39)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.57)

26.84% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

0.74)

62.15% (

-0.73)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

-2.64)

32.13% (

2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39% (

-3.11)

68.61% (

3.11)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 40.72%

Gremio 32.09%

Draw 27.18%

Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.09%

How you voted: Vitoria vs Gremio

Vitoria

42.9%

Draw

42.9%

Gremio

14.3%

Head to Head

Jul 21, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 18

Gremio

2-0

Vitoria

Soteldo (63'), Reinaldo (90+6' pen.)
Carballo (45+1')

Willians Assis Arcanjo (17'), Naldi (23'), Janderson (35'), Kennyd Gabriel Santos (52'), Oliveira (60'), Carpini (71'), Esteves (90+2'), Reynaldo (90+5')

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Nov 25, 2018 7pm

Gameweek 37

Vitoria

0-0

Gremio

Farias (17'), Jeferson (90')

Michel (29'), Kannemann (42'), Santos (51'), Geromel (86')

Aug 12, 2018 11pm

Gameweek 18

Gremio

4-0

Vitoria

Dos Santos (12'), Jailson (21'), Pepe (58'), Everton (82')
Victor (85')

Renato Bonifacio Augusto (33'), Andrade (39'), Kanu (54')

Form Guide

Vitoria 2-0 Fortaleza

Botafogo 1-1 Vitoria

Criciuma 0-1 Vitoria

Vitoria 1-2 Corinthians

Athletico PR 1-2 Vitoria

Vitoria 2-1 Fluminense

Fluminense 2-2 Gremio

Gremio 3-1 Atletico GO

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Flamengo Flamengo	11	7	3	1	24	4	20	24
2	Cruzeiro	11	7	2	2	17	8	9	23
3	Bragantino Bragantino	11	7	2	2	14	8	6	23
4	Palmeiras Palmeiras	11	7	1	3	12	8	4	22
5	Fluminense	11	6	2	3	15	12	3	20
6	Botafogo	11	5	3	3	14	7	7	18
7	Bahia	11	5	3	3	11	11	0	18
8	Mirassol	11	4	5	2	17	12	5	17
9	Atletico Mineiro	11	4	5	2	11	10	1	17
10	Ceara Ceara	11	4	3	4	13	11	2	15
11	Corinthians	11	4	3	4	12	14	-2	15
12	Gremio	11	4	3	4	11	14	-3	15
13	Sao Paulo	11	2	6	3	9	11	-2	12
14	Internacional Internacional	11	2	5	4	12	16	-4	11
15	Vasco da Gama Vasco	11	3	1	7	11	15	-4	10
16	Vitoria	11	2	4	5	10	14	-4	10
17	Fortaleza Fortaleza	11	2	4	5	10	15	-5	10
18	Santos Santos	11	2	2	7	8	12	-4	8
19	Juventude Juventude	11	2	2	7	8	24	-16	8
20	Sport Recife Sport	11	0	3	8	5	18	-13	3
					> Brasileiro Full Table