Dec 1, 2024 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Arena do Gremio

Franco Cristaldo 36'
Ruan 45'+2'
Cristian Pavon 90'+5'

Luiz Gustavo 64'
Wellington Rato 72'

Gremio vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions

D
D
L
D
W
L

Brasileiro

D
D
L
D
W
L

Last game

Nov 28, 2024 12.00am

Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Martin Braithwaite

Sao Paulo

All competitions

D
D
W
W
D
W

Brasileiro

D
D
W
W
D
W

Last game

Nov 24, 2024 12.30am

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro

Goals scored

53

Top scorer

Lucas Moura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 37.53% ▲ (+0.49)

Draw 28.28% ▼ (-0.13)

Sao Paulo 34.19% ▼ (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score:

46.87% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.65% ▲ (+0.43)

Under 2.5 59.35% ▼ (-0.43)

Over 3.5 20.26% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 3.5 79.74% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 4.5 8.48% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 4.5 91.51% ▼ (-0.19)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 69.54% ▲ (+0.52)

Under 0.5 30.46% ▼ (-0.52)

Over 1.5 33.33% ▲ (+0.61)

Under 1.5 66.67% ▼ (-0.61)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 67.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 32.6% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 30.86% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 69.14% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Gremio 37.53%

Draw 28.28%

Sao Paulo 34.19%

Gremio

1-0 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.02)

2-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.10)

2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.09)

3-1 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.09)

3-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.08)

3-2 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 3.21%

Total : 37.53%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.17)

2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.71%

Total : 28.28%

Sao Paulo

0-1 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.18)

1-2 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.11)

1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)

2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.65%

Total : 34.19%

Head to Head

Jul 18, 2024 12.00am

1

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Lucas Moura 10'
Lucas Moura 10'
Igor Vinicius 38'
Igor Vinicius 38'
Lucas Moura 41'
Lucas Moura 41'
Luis Zubeldia 42'
Luis Zubeldia 42'
Rafael Pires 78'
Rafael Pires 78'
Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1'
Nathan Ribeiro 90'+1'
Igor Vinicius 90'+9'
Igor Vinicius 90'+9'
Welington 90'+13'
Welington 90'+13'

Pepe 23'
Pepe 23'
Mathias Villasanti 31'
Mathias Villasanti 31'
Rafael Pires 80'
Rafael Pires 80'

Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Michel Araujo 21'
Pablo Maia 43'
Pablo Maia 68'
Luciano 90'+7'

Walter Kannemann 21'
Josue 69'
Luis Suarez 89'

Jun 4, 2023 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT Arena do Gremio

Franco Cristaldo 31'
Reinaldo 39'

Jonathan Calleri 15'

Dec 2, 2021 11.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Thiago 23'
Diogo Barbosa 68'
Douglas Costa 74'
Gabriel Grando 85'
Miguel Borja 90'+3'
Jhonata Robert 90'+4'

Emiliano Rigoni 60'
Miranda 90'+1'

Aug 15, 2021 1.00am

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Vitor Bueno 13'
Reinaldo 18'
Bruno Alves 21'
Igor Gomes 61'
Igor Gomes 90'+4'

Pedro Geromel 12'
Vanderson 20'
Luiz Felipe Scolari 61'

Feb 14, 2021 11.30pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Diego Souza 33'
Jonathan Doin 59'
Diego Souza 90'
Alisson 90'+2'
Cesar Pinares 90'+8'
Ferreira 90'+10'
Cesar Pinares 90'+10'

Gonzalo Carneiro 59'
Tche Tche 63'
Luciano 68'
Dani Alves 75'
Igor Vinicius 81'
Tche Tche 90'

Form Data

Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio

Gremio 2 - 2 Juventude

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio

Fluminense 2 - 2 Gremio

Gremio 3 - 1 Atletico GO

Internacional 1 - 0 Gremio

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro

Bragantino 1 - 1 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Athletico PR

Bahia 0 - 3 Sao Paulo

Criciuma 1 - 1 Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo 3 - 0 Vasco