/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsaoplog.png)
-
Jean Lucas
51'
-
Jean Lucas
51'
-
Kanu
61'
-
Kanu
61'
-
Gabriel Xavier
79'
-
Gabriel Xavier
79'
-
Marcos Antonio
35'
-
Marcos Antonio
35'
-
Luiz Gustavo
40'
-
Luiz Gustavo
40'
-
Sabino
55'
-
Sabino
55'
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Wellington Rato
66'
-
Wellington Rato
66'
-
Lucas Moura
90'+1'
-
Lucas Moura
90'+1'
Bahia vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result
Bahia
40.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
28.79%
▲
(+0.03)
Sao Paulo
30.98%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
44.74%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.35%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
61.65%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
18.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
81.48%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
7.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
92.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
70%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
29.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
33.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
66.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
63.91%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
36.09%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
27.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
72.87%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Bahia
40.23%
Draw
28.78%
Sao Paulo
30.98%
Bahia
1-0
@
13.03%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 40.23%
2-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 40.23%
Draw
1-1
@
13.28%
0-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.78%
0-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.78%
Sao Paulo
0-1
@
11.03%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.98%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.98%