Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Nov 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Sao Paulo

Bahia
0 - 3
Sao Paulo


Lucas (51'), Lucas (51'), Kanu (61'), Kanu (61'), Xavier (79'), Xavier (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gustavo (40', 40'), Rato (66', 66'), Moura (90+1', 90+1')
Antonio (35'), Antonio (35'), Sabino (55'), Sabino (55')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 3-2 Bahia
Tuesday, October 29 at 12am in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, October 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
40.23% (0.026000000000003 0.03)28.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.35% (-0.073 -0.07)61.65% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.52% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)81.48% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)29.99% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)66.11% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)36.09% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (-0.073 -0.07)72.87% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 40.23%
    Sao Paulo 30.98%
    Draw 28.78%
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.98%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 13
Sao Paulo
3-1
Bahia
Calleri (30'), Ferreira (32'), Luciano (65')
Ferreira (34'), Cuberas (34'), Luciano (65'), Alisson (86'), Gustavo (89')
Gilberto (49')
Kanu (44')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
0-1
Sao Paulo

Yago (54'), Kanu (87'), Ratao (90'), Mugni (90+2')
Paulista (90+7')
Beraldo (81'), Costa (90+1'), Paulista (90+8')
Jul 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
0-0
Bahia
Bahia (18'), Gilberto (25'), Xavier (31'), Ratao (76')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rossi (77')
de Lucca (69')

Rigoni (43'), Liziero (57')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
1-0
Bahia
Liziero (90+1')

Jonas (73')
> Preview