Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Bahia
53.48% ( -0.38)	25.33% ( 0.03)	21.18% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

0.25)

55.46% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

0.2)

76.65% (

-0.2)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.24% (

-0.06)

20.75% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.61% (

-0.09)

53.39% (

0.09)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75% (

0.51)

41.25% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22% (

0.45)

77.77% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 53.48%

Bahia 21.18%

Draw 25.33%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.48%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.18%