Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Club Libertad

Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Libertad

Jorge (12', 12')
Romero (6'), Romero (6'), William (18'), Diniz (18'), William (18'), Diniz (18')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Santa Cruz (72', 72')
William (29'), William (29'), Ramirez (56'), Ramirez (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cruzeiro and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Libertad 0-2 Cruzeiro
Friday, September 20 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawClub Libertad
59.86% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)23.26% (0.097999999999999 0.1)16.88% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.224 -0.22)53.14% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-0.191 -0.19)74.71% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.151 -0.15)17.44% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (-0.265 -0.27)47.89% (0.266 0.27)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)80.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 59.84%
    Club Libertad 16.88%
    Draw 23.26%
CruzeiroDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 13.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.88%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Libertad

Cruzeiro
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Club Libertad
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Libertad
0-2
Cruzeiro

Ramirez (63'), Gimenez (90+2')
Jorge (19'), Diaz (45+3')
Veron (37'), Marcelo (73')
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