/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fliblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fcrulog.png)
-
Ivan Ramirez
63'
-
Ivan Ramirez
63'
-
Ivan Ramirez
63'
-
Nestor Gimenez
90'+2'
-
Nestor Gimenez
90'+2'
-
Nestor Gimenez
90'+2'
-
Kaio Jorge
19'
-
Kaio Jorge
19'
-
Kaio Jorge
19'
-
Gabriel Veron
37'
-
Gabriel Veron
37'
-
Gabriel Veron
37'
-
Lautaro Diaz
45'+3'
-
Lautaro Diaz
45'+3'
-
Lautaro Diaz
45'+3'
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Joao Marcelo
73'
-
Joao Marcelo
73'
-
Joao Marcelo
73'
Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fdaniel-garnero.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result
Club Libertad
32.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
27.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Cruzeiro
39.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
48.04%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.28%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
57.72%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
21.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
78.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
9.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
90.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5
66.93%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
33.08%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
30.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
69.67%
▲
(+0.08)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
71.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
28.22%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
36.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
63.92%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Club Libertad
32.25%
Draw
27.74%
Cruzeiro
39.98%
Club Libertad
1-0
@
10.32%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.25%
2-1 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.25%
Draw
1-1
@
13.06%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
Cruzeiro
0-1
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 39.98%
1-2 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 39.98%