Club Libertad
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Cruzeiro

Libertad
0 - 2
Cruzeiro


Ramirez (63'), Ramirez (63'), Ramirez (63'), Gimenez (90+2'), Gimenez (90+2'), Gimenez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Jorge (19', 19', 19'), Diaz (45+3', 45+3', 45+3')
Veron (37'), Veron (37'), Veron (37'), Marcelo (73'), Marcelo (73'), Marcelo (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Club Libertad and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

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Last Game: Ameliano 0-0 Libertad (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawCruzeiro
32.26% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)27.75% (0.02 0.02)39.99% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)57.72% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)78.47% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)33.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)69.67% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)28.22% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 32.25%
    Cruzeiro 39.98%
    Draw 27.74%
Club LibertadDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Libertad vs Cruzeiro

Club Libertad
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cruzeiro
30.0%
20