Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 22, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio La Asuncion

Ameliano
0 - 0
Libertad

(1-1 on aggregate)

Javier Baez (16'), Daniel Fretes Galeano (44')

Campuzano (10')

Libertad win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sportivo Ameliano and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Ameliano

Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Ameliano
Thursday, August 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Ameliano
Thursday, August 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 28.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Sportivo Ameliano	Draw	Club Libertad
28.17% ( 0.39)	28.41% ( -0.05)	43.42% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 44.52% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

0.31)

61.32% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

0.23)

81.23% (

-0.23)

Sportivo Ameliano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

0.5)

38.11% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

0.48)

74.88% (

-0.48)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

-0.04)

28.05% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0.05)

63.71% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Ameliano 28.16%

Club Libertad 43.42%

Draw 28.4%

Sportivo Ameliano	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.16%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.42%