Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 24, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

U. Catolica
1 - 1
Libertad

(Club Libertad win 3-1 on aggregate)

Fajardo (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardozo (90+1')
Melgarejo (12'), Caballero (42'), Bareiro (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Universidad Catolica and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: Libertad 2-0 U. Catolica
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 2-0 U. Catolica
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Club Libertad
51.07% ( 0.05)	25.14% ( -0.02)	23.79% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

0.03)

52.26% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

0.03)

73.96% (

-0.03)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52% (

0.03)

20.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.06% (

0.05)

52.94% (

-0.05)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.1% (

-0.02)

36.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31% (

-0.02)

73.68% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 51.07%

Club Libertad 23.79%

Draw 25.13%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.07%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.79%