Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad
1 - 1
Ameliano

(1-1 on aggregate)

Espinoza (58')
Aguilar (59'), Caballero (62'), Fabian Fernandez Benitez (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Samudio (23')
Javier Baez (16'), Maiz (26'), Contrera (29'), Leonel Benitez (54'), Rossi (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Club Libertad and Sportivo Ameliano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: U. Catolica 1-1 Libertad
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Sportivo Ameliano

Last Game: Athletico PR 0-1 Ameliano
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Sportivo Ameliano
58.7% ( -0.06)	23.1% ( 0.08)	18.2% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

-0.34)

50.6% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48% (

-0.3)

72.51% (

0.3)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

-0.14)

16.94% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

-0.25)

47.01% (

0.25)

Sportivo Ameliano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

-0.22)

41.72% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

-0.19)

78.19% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 58.69%

Sportivo Ameliano 18.2%

Draw 23.09%

Club Libertad	Draw	Sportivo Ameliano
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 58.69%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.2%