Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
51.9% ( -0.13)	25.73% ( 0.04)	22.36% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.21% (

-0.09)

55.79% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08% (

-0.07)

76.92% (

0.07)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0.09)

21.55% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38% (

-0.14)

54.62% (

0.14)

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

0.04)

40.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.04)

76.86% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 51.89%

Atletico Goianiense 22.36%

Draw 25.73%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.89%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.36%