Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Flamengo

Tachira
0 - 1
Flamengo


Rosales (41'), Rosales (41'), Cova (45+1'), Cova (45+1'), Camacho (80'), Camacho (80'), Manuel Requena (87'), Manuel Requena (87'), Maidana (90+5'), Maidana (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Juninho (57', 57')
Pereira (63'), Pereira (63')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Tachira
Friday, May 31 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, March 30 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawFlamengo
21.49% (2.196 2.2)25.19% (0.767 0.77)53.31% (-2.966 -2.97)
Both teams to score 47.35% (0.927 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-0.405 -0.41)54.62% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (-0.337 -0.34)75.96% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (2.128 2.13)40.45% (-2.13 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (1.872 1.87)77.05% (-1.875 -1.88)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-1.332 -1.33)20.49% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-2.153 -2.15)52.97% (2.149 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 21.49%
    Flamengo 53.3%
    Draw 25.19%
Deportivo TachiraDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.536 0.54)
2-1 @ 5.38% (0.468 0.47)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.421 0.42)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.225 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.206 0.21)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 13.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-2 @ 10.41% (-0.72 -0.72)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.5% (-0.631 -0.63)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 53.3%

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