Copa Sudamericana
-
Alex Arce
16'
-
Alex Arce
16'
-
Ricardo Ade
27'
-
Ricardo Ade
27'
-
Jhojan Julio
48'
-
Jhojan Julio
48'
-
Jhojan Julio
53'
-
Jhojan Julio
53'
-
Lisandro Alzugaray
64'
-
Lisandro Alzugaray
64'
-
Luis Caicedo
87'
-
Luis Caicedo
87'
LDU Quito vs Always Ready - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F21%2Fjhojan-julio.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
Result
LDU Quito
66.97%
▲
(+0.47)
Draw
19.72%
▼
(-0.27)
Always Ready
13.31%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
47.91%
▲
(+0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.57%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 2.5
45.43%
▼
(-0.69)
Over 3.5
32.23%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 3.5
67.76%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 4.5
16.24%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 4.5
83.75%
▼
(-0.47)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5
87.37%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
12.63%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 1.5
61.24%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 1.5
38.75%
▼
(-0.71)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5
54.83%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
45.17%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
18.93%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
81.07%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
LDU Quito
66.96%
Draw
19.72%
Always Ready
13.31%
LDU Quito
2-0
@
12.21%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 66.96%
1-0 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 66.96%
Draw
1-1
@
9.38%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.72%
0-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.72%
Always Ready
0-1
@
4.53%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 13.31%
1-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 13.31%