Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
3 - 0
Always Ready

Arce (16', 16'), Ade (27', 27'), Julio (53', 53')
Julio (48'), Julio (48'), Alzugaray (64'), Alzugaray (64')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Caicedo (87'), Caicedo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between LDU Quito and Always Ready, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

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Last Game: LDU Quito 2-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Always Ready

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Last Game: Medellin 4-0 Always Ready
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawAlways Ready
66.97% (0.46299999999999 0.46)19.72% (-0.263 -0.26)13.31% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.91% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (0.682 0.68)45.43% (-0.686 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (0.648 0.65)67.76% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (0.33799999999999 0.34)12.63% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.24% (0.697 0.7)38.75% (-0.701 -0.7)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.83% (0.113 0.11)45.17% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.93% (0.088000000000001 0.09)81.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 66.96%
    Always Ready 13.31%
    Draw 19.72%
LDU QuitoDrawAlways Ready
2-0 @ 12.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.36% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 66.96%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.72%
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 13.31%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Always Ready

LDU Quito
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Always Ready
0.0%
18