Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
2 - 0
Universitario

Arce (44'), Alzugaray (67')
Quinteros (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzales (64')
Gonzales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Universitario

Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Botafogo
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Universitario
50.52% ( 0)	26.15%	23.33% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55% (

-0)

56.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55%

77.45% (

-0)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

22.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

55.93% (

-0.01)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.33% (

-0)

39.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65% (

-0)

76.35% (

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 50.52%

Universitario 23.33%

Draw 26.14%

LDU Quito	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.33%