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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
0 - 1
Junior


Mina (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Enamorado (37')
Pacheco (29'), Reyes (32')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

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Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 LDU Quito
Thursday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Junior

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Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Junior
Wednesday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawAtletico Junior
63.17% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)14.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.09% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.47% (0.046999999999997 0.05)52.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (0.042000000000002 0.04)74.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.043000000000006 0.04)16.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.54% (0.076999999999998 0.08)45.47% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)47.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)82.84% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 63.15%
    Atletico Junior 14.69%
    Draw 22.14%
LDU QuitoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 63.15%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.69%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Junior
1-1
LDU Quito
Bacca (12' pen.)
Mena (21'), Bacca (80'), Pena (90+5')
Arce (45' pen.)
Estrada (21'), Julio (61'), Arce (90+5'), Arce (90')