Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Municipal El Alto

Always Ready
3 - 1
LDU Quito

Terrazas (1', 1'), Martinez (84', 84'), Carabali (88', 88')
Cuellar (17'), Cuellar (17'), Carabali (82'), Carabali (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alzugaray (50', 50')
Ade (43'), Ade (43'), Estrada (85'), Estrada (85'), Villamil (86'), Villamil (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Always Ready and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Always Ready
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Always Ready
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.

Result
Always Ready	Draw	LDU Quito
58.65% ( -0.1)	23.12% ( 0.06)	18.22% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.38% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

-0.17)

50.65% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.44% (

-0.15)

72.56% (

0.15)

Always Ready Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

-0.1)

16.97% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.93% (

-0.17)

47.07% (

0.16)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

-0.05)

41.73% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

-0.05)

78.2% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Always Ready 58.64%

LDU Quito 18.22%

Draw 23.11%

Always Ready	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 58.64%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.22%