Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.