Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Vasco da Gama

Ceara
2 - 1
Vasco

Raul (29', 29', 81', 81')
Silva (10'), Silva (10'), Galeano (38'), Galeano (38'), Bahia (62'), Bahia (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vegetti (90+2', 90+2')
Paulinho (4'), Paulinho (4'), Henrique (31'), Henrique (31'), Moura (34'), Moura (34'), Vegetti (62'), Vegetti (62')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 3-1 Sport
Sunday, April 13 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawVasco da Gama
48.14% (0.409 0.41)26.32% (-0.139 -0.14)25.54% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 48.43% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6% (0.34 0.34)55.4% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (0.278 0.28)76.6% (-0.27900000000001 -0.28)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.334 0.33)23.03% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.489 0.49)56.85% (-0.489 -0.49)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)37.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)73.86% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 48.14%
    Vasco da Gama 25.54%
    Draw 26.32%
CearaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.14%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25.54%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 23
Vasco
1-4
Ceara
Ribamar (65' pen.)
Gil (29'), Bastos (83')
Naressi (4'), Cleber (26'), Saulo (79'), Vinicius (89' pen.)
Otavio (63')
Aug 21, 2020 12am
Gameweek 4
Ceara
0-3
Vasco

Lima (44'), Xavier (45+1'), Carvalho (61')
Ribamar (90+5')
Graca (33'), Andrey (44'), Henrique (60')
Oct 26, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 28
Ceara
1-1
Vasco
Bergson (81')
Oliveira (45'), Carvalho (88'), Auremir (91')
Rossi (18')
Bruno (26'), Richard (48'), Rossi (69')
Jun 13, 2019 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Vasco
1-0
Ceara
Carvalho (80')

Otavio (77'), Fabinho (82')
Dec 2, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 38
Ceara
0-0
Vasco
Richardson (11'), Xavier (16'), Ricardinho (42')
Xavier (91')
Maranhao (22'), Raul (41')
rhs 2.0


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