Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Vasco da Gama

Cuiaba
1 - 2
Vasco

Lacerda (33')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Vegetti (18', 43')
Dominguez (62')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, December 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, December 4 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
CuiabaDrawVasco da Gama
48.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.38% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)26.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.1% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.95% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.026000000000003 0.03)54.2% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.022000000000006 0.02)33.89% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.026 0.03)70.56% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 48.05%
    Vasco da Gama 26.55%
    Draw 25.38%
CuiabaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.55%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 19
Vasco
1-0
Cuiaba
Moura (53')
Moura (57'), Vegetti (90+1')

Lacerda (89')
Nov 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Cuiaba
0-2
Vasco

Raniele (73'), Alexandre (90+6')
Pec (57'), Orellano (90+10')
Henrique (18')
Jun 27, 2023 1am
Gameweek 12
Vasco
1-0
Cuiaba
Jair (77' pen.)
Rayan (38'), Pec (67'), Orellano (77'), de Sousa Lemos (90+5'), Jair (90+4'), Gabriel (90+7')

Oliveira (39'), Sobral (57'), Denilson (88'), Empereur (90')
Oliveira (89')
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