Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2024 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
  • Emmanuel Martinez 13' goal
  • Breno Lopes 78' goal
  • Matheus Rossetto 81' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jair 57'

Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2024 9.30pm
Juventude 0 - 3 Fortaleza
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Juan Martin Lucero

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2024 12.30am
Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result

Fortaleza 59.82% (-0.02)
Draw 23.57% (+0.02)
Vasco da Gama 16.6% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.14% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.27% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.72% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 23.95% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.04% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.7% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.29% (+0.03)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 81.97% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.02% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.91% (+0.04)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 53.84% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 46.15% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 18.16% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 81.84% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fortaleza 59.82%
Draw 23.57%
Vasco da Gama 16.6%
Fortaleza
1-0 @ 14.25% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.21% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 59.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.57%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.6%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
  • Maicon 37' yellowcard
  • Matheus Carvalho 45'+3' goal
  • Hugo Moura 52' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 63' goal
  • David 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piton 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 35'
  • redcard Hercules 40'
  • yellowcard Titi 65'
  • yellowcard Matheus Rossetto 67'
Copa do Brasil
May 22, 2024 1.30am
3
3
HT : 3 3
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 17' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 17' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 17' goal
  • Joao Victor 27' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 27' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 27' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 65' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 65' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 65' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 71' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 71' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 71' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piton 76' goal
  • Lucas Piton 76' goal
  • Lucas Piton 76' goal
  • Paulo Henrique 81' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 81' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 81' yellowcard
  • goal Marinho 8'
  • goal Marinho 8'
  • goal Marinho 8'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 54'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 54'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 54'
  • yellowcard Marinho 81'
  • yellowcard Marinho 81'
  • goal Hercules 89'
  • goal Hercules 89'
  • goal Hercules 89'
Copa do Brasil
May 1, 2024 11.00pm
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Gabriel Pec 3' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 3' yellowcard
  • Marlon Gomes 24' yellowcard
  • Marlon Gomes 24' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 58' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 58' goal
  • Mateus Carvalho 83' yellowcard
  • Mateus Carvalho 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Escobar 44'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Escobar 44'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 54'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 54'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Thiago Galhardo 87' goal
  • Silvio Romero 90'+4' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Feb 10, 2021 10.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Igor Torres 7' goal
  • David 44' goal
  • Romarinho 63' goal
  • Gabriel Dias 66' yellowcard
  • Juninho 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo Alves 31'
  • yellowcard Leandro Castan 60'
  • yellowcard Cayo Tenorio 75'