Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Vasco da Gama

Fortaleza
3 - 0
Vasco

Martinez (13'), Lopes (78'), Kayzer (90+2')
Rossetto (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jair (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 0-3 Fortaleza
Saturday, November 2 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Vasco
Wednesday, November 6 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawVasco da Gama
59.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)23.57% (0.010000000000002 0.01)16.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.14% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)54.72% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)76.04% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)18.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)46.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (-0.023 -0.02)81.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 59.82%
    Vasco da Gama 16.6%
    Draw 23.57%
FortalezaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16.6%

Head to Head
Jul 4, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Vasco
2-0
Fortaleza
Carvalho (45+3'), Vegetti (63')
Maicon (37'), Moura (52'), David (64'), Piton (83')

Martin Lucero (35'), Titi (65'), Rossetto (67')
Hercules (40')
> Preview
May 22, 2024 1.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Vasco
3-3
Fortaleza
(Aggregate 3-3 | Vasco win 5-4 on penalties)
Vegetti (17' pen., 65'), Piton (76')
Victor (27'), Payet (71'), Henrique (81')
Marinho (8'), Martin Lucero (54'), Hercules (89')
Marinho (81')
> Preview
May 1, 2024
11pm
Third Round
Fortaleza  
vs.
  Vasco
Oct 19, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Vasco
1-0
Fortaleza
Payet (58')
Pec (3'), Gomes (24'), Carvalho (83')

Escobar (44'), Pikachu (54')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
2-0
Vasco
Galhardo (87'), Romero (90+4')
Hercules (42'), Ricardo (90+1'), Pikachu (90+7')

Capasso (5')