Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Gremio
Oct 5, 2024 1.30am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT Arena do Gremio
Fortaleza
  • Alexander Aravena 13' goal
  • Alexander Aravena 13' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 60' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 60' goal
  • Joao Pedro 86' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 86' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 88' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 88' yellowcard
  • Fabio Da Silva 90' redcard
  • Fabio Da Silva 90' redcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 90'+1' goal
  • Yeferson Soteldo 90'+1' goal
  • goal Hercules 18'
  • goal Hercules 18'
  • yellowcard Eros Mancuso 35'
  • yellowcard Eros Mancuso 35'
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 69'
  • yellowcard Juan Martin Lucero 69'
  • redcard Eros Mancuso 80'
  • redcard Eros Mancuso 80'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 90'+4'

Gremio vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 1.00am
Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm
Fortaleza 1 - 0 Cuiaba
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Juan Martin Lucero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 50.71% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 25.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Fortaleza 23.52% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.09% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.13% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 54.86% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 23.84% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 76.16% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 10.63% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 89.37% ▼ (-0.13)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 78.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 21.67% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 45.18% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 54.81% ▼ (-0.27)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24.66% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 75.34% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Gremio 50.71%
Draw 25.75%
Fortaleza 23.52%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.75%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.52%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Fortaleza
Jun 20, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Gremio
  • Pedro Augusto 33' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 33' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 42' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 42' goal
  • Calebe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Calebe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 90'+5' yellowcard
  • redcard Pepe 44'
  • redcard Pepe 44'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 81'
  • yellowcard Edenilson 81'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Fortaleza
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Gremio
  • Thiago Galhardo 44' goal
  • Marcelo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 74'
  • goal Luis Suarez 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Gremio
May 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
Fortaleza
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Fortaleza
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
  • Robson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Yago Pikachu 79' goal
  • Felipe 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruan 81'
  • yellowcard Everton 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Gremio
Jun 28, 2021 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fortaleza
  • Douglas Costa 37' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 59' redcard
  • Diogo Barbosa 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ederson 28'
  • yellowcard Ronald 49'
  • yellowcard Osvaldo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Titi 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Fortaleza
Jan 10, 2021 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
  • Derley 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Paulao 51' yellowcard
  • Felipe 57' yellowcard
  • Wellington Paulista 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 38'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Doin 86'

Form Data

Botafogo 0 - 0 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 2 Criciuma
Gremio 3 - 2 Flamengo
Bragantino 2 - 2 Gremio
Gremio 2 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Criciuma 0 - 1 Gremio
Fortaleza 1 - 0 Cuiaba
Corinthians 3 - 0 Fortaleza
Fortaleza 4 - 1 Bahia
Fortaleza 0 - 2 Corinthians
Athletico PR 1 - 1 Fortaleza
Internacional 2 - 1 Fortaleza