Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Fortaleza
50.71% ( 0.15)	25.76% ( -0.08)	23.52% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

0.25)

54.86% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

0.2)

76.16% (

-0.21)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

0.17)

21.67% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

0.26)

54.81% (

-0.26)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

0.07)

38.59% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

0.07)

75.34% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Gremio 50.71%

Fortaleza 23.52%

Draw 25.75%

Gremio	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.71%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.52%