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Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Nov 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Vasco da Gama

Botafogo
3 - 0
Vasco

Savarino (9', 9'), Henrique (12', 12'), Santos (71', 71')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Victor (37'), Victor (37'), Henrique (86'), Henrique (86')
Victor (44'), Victor (44')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, October 31 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 3-2 Bahia
Tuesday, October 29 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
64.19% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)21.46% (0.047000000000001 0.05)14.35% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 45.26% (0.44 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51% (0.273 0.27)50.48% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.242 0.24)72.41% (-0.242 -0.24)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.44%43.56%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.28% (0.517 0.52)46.71% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73% (0.39 0.39)82.27% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 64.17%
    Vasco da Gama 14.35%
    Draw 21.46%
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 12.6% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.86% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 14.35%

Head to Head
Jun 29, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vasco
1-1
Botafogo
Vegetti (84')
Luis (34'), Moura (40'), Victor (77'), de Paula (90+2')
Bastos (73')
Bastos (45+1'), Fernandez Torres (45+2'), Santos (59'), Suarez (89'), de Paula (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 32
Vasco
1-0
Botafogo
Henrique (29')
Medel (61'), Paulinho (80')

Marcal (45+4'), da Silva (56'), Costa (61'), Tiquinho (79')
Jul 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Botafogo
2-0
Vasco
Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')
Adryelson (41'), Segovia (89')

Pele (19'), Bambu (19'), Orellano (60'), Rayan (86'), Piton (88')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
3-0
Botafogo
Magno (22'), Andrey (78'), Pikachu (90+6' pen.)
Pikachu (90+8')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Fourth Stage
Vasco
0-0
Botafogo
Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')