Copa Libertadores
Oct 31, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Jaime Baez 31' goal
  • Jaime Baez 31' goal
  • Washington Aguerre 45'+5' redcard
  • Washington Aguerre 45'+5' redcard
  • Jaime Baez 66' goal
  • Jaime Baez 66' goal
  • Ignacio Sosa 86' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Sosa 86' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 89' goal
  • Facundo Batista 89' goal
  • yellowcard Bastos 28'
  • yellowcard Bastos 28'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 49'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 49'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 69'
  • redcard Mateo Ponte 69'
  • yellowcard Mateo Ponte 69'
  • redcard Mateo Ponte 69'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 71'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 71'
  • goal Thiago Almada 88'
  • goal Thiago Almada 88'

Penarol vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 1.45am
Botafogo 5 - 0 Penarol

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Oct 24, 2024 1.45am
Botafogo 5 - 0 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.01%), while for a Penarol win it was 1-0 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 26.3% (+0.12)
Draw 31.35% (+0.61)
Botafogo 42.35% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.64% (-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 29.53% (-1.51)
Under 2.5 70.47% (+1.51)
Over 3.5 12.47% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 87.53% (+0.97)
Over 4.5 4.38% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 95.62% (+0.47)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 54.96% (-0.81)
Under 0.5 45.04% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 19.03% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 80.97% (+0.66)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 66.67% (-1.23)
Under 0.5 33.33% (+1.23)
Over 1.5 30.05% (-1.37)
Under 1.5 69.95% (+1.37)

Score analysis

Penarol 26.3%
Draw 31.34%
Botafogo 42.35%
Penarol
1-0 @ 11.97% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.78% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.3%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.01% (+0.82)
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.34%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 16.49% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 9.06% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.35%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Oct 24, 2024 1.45am
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Luiz Henrique 13' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 13' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 36' yellowcard
  • Igor Jesus 36' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 51' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 51' goal
  • Alexander Barboza 56' goal
  • Alexander Barboza 56' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 60' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 60' goal
  • Gregore 61' yellowcard
  • Gregore 61' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 61' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 62' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 74' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 74' goal
  • Igor Jesus 79' goal
  • Igor Jesus 79' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Perez 36'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Perez 36'