Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
6
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-
Sebastian Coates
22'
-
Mateo Antoni
24'
-
Gonzalo Petit Abad
26'
-
Federico Santander
84'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
11'
-
Guillermo de Amores
24'
-
Gaston Ramirez
47'
-
Guzman Rodriguez
51'
-
Rodrigo Perez
90'+20'
Nacional vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result
Nacional
41.12%
▼
(-0.48)
Draw
28.62%
▲
(+0.16)
Penarol
30.26%
▲
(+0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
44.94%
▼
(-0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.72%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
61.28%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
18.8%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
81.2%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 4.5
7.66%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
92.34%
▲
(+0.18)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
70.7%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
29.3%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
34.73%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
65.27%
▲
(+0.58)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
63.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
36.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
26.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
73.22%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Nacional
41.11%
Draw
28.61%
Penarol
30.26%
Nacional
1-0
@
13.1%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 41.11%
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 41.11%
Draw
1-1
@
13.23%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.61%
0-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.61%
Penarol
0-1
@
10.78%
▲
(+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.26%
1-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.26%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
-
Juan Izquierdo
32'
-
Luis Mejia
65'
-
Maximiliano Silvera
75'
-
Gonzalo Petit Abad
79'
-
Mateo Antoni
88'
-
Christian Oliva
88'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
34'
-
Lucas Hernandez
38'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
51'
-
Guzman Rodriguez
64'
-
Facundo Batista
88'
-
Sebastian Cristoforo
88'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
9
-
Ignacio Ramirez
30'
-
Franco Fagundez
35'
-
Ignacio Suarez
35'
-
Ignacio Suarez
36'
-
Gabriel Baez
63'
-
Gabriel Baez
63'
-
Gabriel Baez
64'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
73'
-
Leo Coelho
15'
-
Franco Gonzalez
31'
-
Leo Coelho
35'
-
Jose Neris
48'
-
Sebastian Rodriguez
72'
-
Lucas Hernandez
87'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
4
-
Leandro Lozano
12'
-
Mathias Laborda
45'+1'
-
Luis Suarez
53'
-
Camilo Candido
76'
-
Diego Zabala
90'+7'
-
Yonatthan Rak
14'
-
Kevin Mendez
61'
-
Nicolas Rossi
77'
-
Brian Lozano
86'
-
Agustin Da Silveira
90'+8'