Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

River Plate
3 - 3
Nacional

Lavega (32' pen.), Rodriguez (45+3' og.), Zeballos (90+3')
Rodriguez (59'), Zeballos (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Galeano (6'), Lopez (60' pen.), Rodriguez (90+7')
Lozano (14'), Martinez (68'), Petit Abad (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Racing
Monday, July 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawNacional
15.51% (-0.282 -0.28)21.15% (0.010000000000002 0.01)63.34% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 48.92% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.569 -0.57)47.04% (0.568 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.534 -0.53)69.28% (0.532 0.53)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (-0.724 -0.72)42.98% (0.723 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (-0.618 -0.62)79.28% (0.617 0.62)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)14.2% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.08% (-0.193 -0.19)41.92% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 15.51%
    Nacional 63.33%
    Draw 21.15%
River PlateDrawNacional
1-0 @ 5.15% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.25% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.18% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 15.51%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 11.91% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 11.62% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.57% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.69% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 63.33%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Nacional
2-1
River Plate
Antoni (83'), Carneiro (87')
Polenta (53'), Izquierdo (65'), Carneiro (90+4')
Lavega (90+2')
Diaz (75'), Lavega (89')
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 8
River Plate
0-3
Nacional

Kidd (41'), Gargano (70'), Viera (88'), Cruz De los Santos (90+1')
Ramirez (23'), Bocanegra (49'), Carneiro (67')
Mar 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 8
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Montiel (38'), Zabala (53'), Candido (89')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
1-1
Nacional
Borbas (67')
Laborda (54')
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Gigliotti (26'), Zabala (57'), Lozano (80')
Candido (66'), Rodriguez (71'), Coelho (84')
Candido (68')

Napoli (8'), Brunelli (30'), Pereira (63'), Ichazo (64')
rhs 2.0


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