Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
0 - 1
River Plate


Duarte (42'), Alvarez (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lavega (21')
Lavega (61'), Ezequiel dos Santos Casuriaga (68')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 Defensor
Sunday, July 14 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-3 Penarol
Sunday, July 14 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawRiver Plate
52.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)25.66% (0.004999999999999 0)22.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)55.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)76.78% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)54.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)40.25% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)76.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 52.1%
    River Plate 22.24%
    Draw 25.65%
Defensor SportingDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 22.24%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Defensor
2-1
River Plate
Rivero (7', 62' pen.)
Rodriguez (23'), Mansilla (39'), Soria (42'), De Los Santos (47'), Dawson (90'), Rivero (90+7')
Soria (56'), Guerrero (90+10'), Elizari (90+10')
Barone (90+5')
Cruz De los Santos (69'), Almeida (70'), Corbo (90+7'), Irrazabal (90+7')
Alfonso (90+10'), Cristobal (90+10'), Corbo (90+10'), Barboza (90+10'), Amoroso (90+10'), Cruz De los Santos (90+10'), Almeida (90+10')
Nov 30, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-1
River Plate

Barco (16'), Freitas (79'), De Los Santos (80')
Barco (29')
Dos Santos (62')
Vera (25'), Barros (77')
Jun 24, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
1-1
Defensor
Rocha (75' og.)
Vidal (47'), Garcia (87')
Barcia (7')
Dufour (30'), Abaldo (36'), Rodriguez (52')
Abaldo (71')
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
River Plate
0-4
Defensor
Valiente (1', 36'), Agazzi (17'), Balboa (79')
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-1
Defensor
Balboa (41')