Sep 30, 2024 12.00am

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Gustavo Alles 18'
Gustavo Alles 18'
Danilo Asconeguy 33'
Danilo Asconeguy 33'
Jorge Gonzalez 60'
Jorge Gonzalez 60'
Ignacio Lemmo 78'
Ignacio Lemmo 78'
Gonzalo Castillo 81'
Gonzalo Castillo 81'

Alexis Castro 12'
Alexis Castro 12'
Ruben Bentancourt 13'
Ruben Bentancourt 13'
Sebastian Coates 45'+2'
Sebastian Coates 45'+2'
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 60'
Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 60'
Jeremia Recoba 66'
Jeremia Recoba 66'

Progreso vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

L
L
L
D
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
L
L
D
D
L

Last game

Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm

Racing 1 - 0 Progreso

Goals scored

42

Top scorer

Franco Lopez

Nacional

All competitions

D
W
W
L
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
D
D
W

Last game

Sep 21, 2024 11.00pm

Nacional 1 - 1 Defensor

Goals scored

87

Top scorer

Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Progreso 22.03% ▲ (+0.17)

Draw 23.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Nacional 54.3% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score:

52.56% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 48.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 29.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 70.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 4.5 14.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 85.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 63.79% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 0.5 36.21% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 1.5 27% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 1.5 72.99% ▼ (-0.17)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 82.4% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 0.5 17.6% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 1.5 51.82% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 1.5 48.18% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Progreso 22.03%

Draw 23.66%

Nacional 54.3%

Progreso

1-0 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.04)

2-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)

3-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.83%

Total : 22.03%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.24% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.09%

Total : 23.66%

Nacional

0-1 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.05)

1-3 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.05)

2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)

0-4 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)

2-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.62%

Total : 54.3%

Head to Head

Mar 23, 2024 9.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 8

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Erik De Los Santos 19'
Erik De Los Santos 19'
Erik De Los Santos 19'
Jose Varela 63'
Jose Varela 63'
Jose Varela 63'
Tomas Veron 72'
Tomas Veron 72'
Tomas Veron 72'
Tomas Veron 72'
Diego Zabala 72'
Juan Rivero 83'
Juan Rivero 83'
Juan Rivero 83'
Federico Santander 89'
Tomas Veron 90'+1'
Tomas Veron 90'+1'
Tomas Veron 90'+1'
Lucas Monzon 90'+6'
Lucas Monzon 90'+6'
Lucas Monzon 90'+6'
Diego Polenta 90'+7'

Maximiliano Viera 18'
Leonardo Sequeira 20'
Leonardo Sequeira 20'
Leonardo Sequeira 20'
Leonardo Sequeira 20'
Martin Marta 31'
Camilo Mayada 35'
Camilo Mayada 35'
Camilo Mayada 35'
Leonardo Sequeira 40'
Leonardo Sequeira 40'
Leonardo Sequeira 40'
Leonardo Sequeira 40'
Gaston Colman 60'
Leonardo Sequeira 66'
Leonardo Sequeira 66'
Leonardo Sequeira 66'
Eduardo Darias 70'
Eduardo Darias 70'
Eduardo Darias 70'
Ignacio Lemmo 87'
Alex Silva 89'

Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Diego Rodriguez 52'
Brian Ocampo 60'
Diego Polenta 89'
Leandro Fernandez 90'+4'

Luciano Olaizola 4'
Danilo Asconeguy 45'
Gaston Colman 57'
Gonzalo Andrada 64'
Joaquin Gottesman 90'+4'

May 23, 2021 7.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT Parque Abraham Paladino

Jonathan Ramis 21'
Gustavo Alles 33'
Danilo Asconeguy 43'
Fabricio Fernandez 59'
Rodrigo Rojo 68'
Christian Paiva 87'

Gonzalo Bergessio 33'
Gonzalo Bergessio 37'
Leandro Fernandez 41'
Camilo Candido 51'
Brian Ocampo 60'
Guzman Corujo 74'
Rafael Garcia 83'
Alfonso Trezza 87'

Feb 18, 2021 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Rodrigo Viega 28'
Anthony Sosa 57'

Gonzalo Bergessio 44'
Gonzalo Bergessio 88'

Aug 27, 2020 12.15am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Pablo Garcia 18'
Thiago Vecino 45'
Rodrigo Nahuel Amaral Pereira 52'
Rodrigo Amaral 52'
Paulo Vinicius 54'
Armando Mendez 81'
Sebastian Fernandez 81'
Agustin Gonzalez 81'

Joaquin Gottesman 37'
Alex Silva 76'

Nov 10, 2019 7.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Alexander Rosso 30'
Emanuel Gularte 51'

Rafael Garcia 63'
Mathias Laborda 69'
Brian Ocampo 71'
Pablo Barrientos 77'

Form Data

Racing 1 - 0 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro

Rampla 2 - 0 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 0 Miramar Misiones

Fenix 1 - 1 Progreso

Progreso 0 - 1 Maldonado

Nacional 1 - 1 Defensor

Wanderers 0 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Liverpool

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Nacional

River Plate 3 - 3 Nacional

Nacional 0 - 0 Sao Paulo