Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
0 - 1
Maldonado


Cardozo (13'), Silvera (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Noble (90+2' pen.)
Gonzalez (52'), Noble (75'), Gonzalez (84'), Diana (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 4-2 Progreso
Sunday, July 14 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Maldonado 1-1 Racing
Friday, July 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawDeportivo Maldonado
42.26% (0.155 0.16)26.64% (0.091000000000001 0.09)31.1% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (-0.453 -0.45)53.82% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.382 -0.38)75.29% (0.379 0.38)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)25.19% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (-0.171 -0.17)59.92% (0.168 0.17)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.40700000000001 -0.41)31.88% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.467 -0.47)68.33% (0.464 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 42.26%
    Deportivo Maldonado 31.1%
    Draw 26.63%
ProgresoDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.1%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
3-1
Maldonado
Lopez (13'), Menosse (35' og.), Cardozo (88')
Lopez (55'), Poiso (59'), Cardozo (71')
Ruben (23')
Alfaro (36'), Cantera (82'), Petryk (84'), Menosse (86'), Noble (86'), Romero (90+1')
Oct 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Progreso
2-0
Maldonado
Lima (17' og.), Colman (46')
Silva (42'), Andrada (45')

Muniz (83')
Jun 24, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Maldonado
1-1
Progreso
Bogliacino (71')
Conechny (55'), Batista (69'), Aguirregaray (90+4')
Alles (10')
Alles (15'), Asconeguy (34'), Morales (53'), Gallardo (69'), Suarez (81'), Silva (82')
Mar 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Progreso
1-1
Maldonado
Roldan (84')
Ferreira (18')
Cantera (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Maldonado
1-0
Progreso
Muniz (71')
Tealde (45+1'), Lerda (90+5')

Lew (23'), Moreira (90')