Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Paulo Lima 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 51' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 59'
  • goal Gaston Gonzalez 70'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 7, 2024 4.30pm
Racing 0 - 1 Wanderers
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kevin Rolon

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 10.00pm
Nacional 1 - 0 Liverpool
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 22.82% (-0.28)
Draw 25.99% (-0.01)
Nacional 51.19% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.7% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.7% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 56.3% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 22.66% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 77.33% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 9.91% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 90.09% (+0.11)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 59.92% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 40.08% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 23.28% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 76.72% (+0.36)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 77.93% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.06% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 44.59% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.41% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 22.82%
Draw 25.98%
Nacional 51.18%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.59% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 22.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.84% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.98%
Nacional
0-1 @ 13.36% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 10.09% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.09% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.18%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Osinachi Ebere 11' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 53' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cairus 77' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 87' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 44'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 1' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 25' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 42' goal
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Camargo 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 84'
  • goal Nicolas Ferreira 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • goal Diego Polenta 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Aug 20, 2022 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Felipe Carballo 15' goal
  • Leandro Lozano 56' yellowcard
  • Felipe Carballo 59' goal
  • Sergio Rochet 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Bravo 22'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 44'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Wagner 70'
  • yellowcard Matias Castro 90'
  • yellowcard Juan Aguirre 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Christian Bravo 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lacerda 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Hernan Rivero 77' goal
  • Diego Hernandez 90' goal
  • Diego Hernandez 90'+1' redcard
  • 90'+15' redcard
  • 90'+16' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 60'
  • goal Alex Castro 68'
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 86'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 89'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • redcard Yonatan Rodriguez 90'+8'
  • redcard Diego Zabala 90'+8'
  • goal Franco Fagundez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 90'+11'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 22, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Bruno Veglio 26' yellowcard
  • Juan Aguirre 42' goal
  • Leonardo Pais 79' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Wagner 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 22'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 75'
  • yellowcard Matias Zunino 89'