Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Sep 8, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Nacional
1 - 0
Liverpool

Lopez (44')
Bentancourt (23'), Oliva (32'), Polenta (37'), Velazquez (40'), Herazo (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
(14')
Bentaberry (9'), Castillo (86'), de Luca Ibargoyen (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Nacional
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Racing
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawLiverpool
57.17% (-0.159 -0.16)23.87% (0.052 0.05)18.95% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 47.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)52.59% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)74.24% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)18.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (-0.138 -0.14)49.22% (0.138 0.14)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98% (0.088999999999999 0.09)42.02% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (0.075999999999997 0.08)78.45% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 57.16%
    Liverpool 18.95%
    Draw 23.87%
NacionalDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 13.03%
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 57.16%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.95%

Head to Head
Jun 15, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
2-1
Liverpool
Bentancourt (3'), Carneiro (79')
Gonzalez (76')
Vergara (87')
Machado (45+1'), Cayetano (71'), Lemos (75'), Vergara (90+1')
Feb 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool
1-1
Nacional
Rodriguez (45+1')
Wasilewsky (53'), Rodriguez Elduayen (68'), Amaro (71')
Ebere (64')
Oliva (9'), Castro (43'), Carneiro (90+5'), Sanabria (90+2')
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Liverpool
0-0
Nacional
Antoni (43'), Pereira (63'), Bentancourt (74'), Samudio (80')
Antoni (74'), Samudio (90+5')
Martinez (40')
Jun 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Liverpool
3-0
Nacional
Bentancourt (8', 64'), Napoli (47')
Samudio (53'), Diaz (90'), Pereira (90+2'), Napoli (90+1')

Rodriguez (32'), Martinez (40'), Rochet (44'), Trezza (52'), Polenta (83'), Noguera (90+5')
Feb 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 1
Nacional
2-1
Liverpool