Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Danubio
2 - 0
Liverpool

Cantera (42' pen.), Rossi (66')
Brazionis (25'), Pintos (55'), Lewis (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (32'), Lemos (38'), Acosta Moreno (57'), Nicola Albanell (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston River 1-2 Danubio
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Cerro
Sunday, July 21 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
DanubioDrawLiverpool
38.13% (-0.558 -0.56)28.31% (0.07 0.07)33.55% (0.483 0.48)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.187 -0.19)59.55% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.146 -0.15)79.89% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-0.42699999999999 -0.43)30.2% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (-0.512 -0.51)66.35% (0.506 0.51)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.23399999999999 0.23)33.13% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.258 0.26)69.73% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 38.12%
    Liverpool 33.55%
    Draw 28.31%
DanubioDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.12%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.55%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 4
Liverpool
1-2
Danubio
Machado (27')
Lemos (54'), Amaro (88')
Fernandez (24', 47')
Romero (63')
Aug 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Liverpool
1-0
Danubio
Medina (45+1')
Siles (18'), Ocampo (81')

Ferreira (42'), Sarmiento (86'), Sarmiento (86')
Sarmiento (90+3'), Sarmiento (90+3')
Feb 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Danubio
1-1
Liverpool
Rea (82')
Medina (4')
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Danubio
1-1
Liverpool
Spetale (38')
Spetale (48'), Bortagaray (90'), Martinicorena (90+3'), Navarro (90+5')
Vecino (57' pen.)
Rivero (30'), Romero (36'), Rodriguez (68'), Gonzalez (79'), Lemos (90+3'), Diaz (90+4'), Medina (90+4')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Liverpool
0-1
Danubio

Medina (90+2'), Vecino (90+11')
Cabrera (54')
Sosa (44'), Cabrera (56'), Navarro (63'), Rea (68'), Olivera (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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