Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.