Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 11, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Gaston Ramirez 1' goal
  • Hernan Toledo 26' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 41' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 53' yellowcard
  • Javier Cabrera 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Medina 27'
  • yellowcard Javier Cabrera 56'

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 8.00pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Penarol
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Leonardo Fernandez

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 10.30pm
Maldonado 2 - 2 Progreso
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Maximiliano Noble

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.56%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Penarol 59.33% (+0.06)
Draw 25.6% (-0.03)
Deportivo Maldonado 15.07% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.46% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.59% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 63.41% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.24% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 82.76% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 6.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 93.2% (-0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 78.39% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.61% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.28% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 54.72% (-0.06)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 46.51% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 53.49% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 13.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 86.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 59.32%
Draw 25.59%
Deportivo Maldonado 15.07%
Penarol
1-0 @ 17.71%
2-0 @ 13.56% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.32%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.56% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.59%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 15.07%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jul 6, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Leonardo Fernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 84' goal
  • Damian Garcia 89' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Larrazabal 2'
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Santiago Cartagena 66'
  • redcard Santiago Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Franco Gonzalez 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2024 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Pablo Gonzalez 11' goal
  • Maximiliano Noble 13' yellowcard
  • Angel Rodriguez 74' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alfaro 80' yellowcard
  • Hernan Petryk 83' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alfaro 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Ramirez 12'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 72'
  • goal Eduardo Darias 79'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Oct 14, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Angel Cayetano 53' yellowcard
  • Angel Cayetano 53' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Facundo Tealde 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alfaro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alfaro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 16'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 17'
  • goal Matias Arezo 30'
  • goal Matias Arezo 30'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 37'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Carlos Sanchez 29' goal
  • Matias Arezo 71' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Cantera 25'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Aug 22, 2022 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Angel Rodriguez 20' yellowcard
  • Diego Romero 36' yellowcard
  • Facundo Piriz 38' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 57' yellowcard
  • Angel Cayetano 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Viatri 70' goal
  • Guillermo Reyes 80' yellowcard
  • Robinson Ferreira 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 32'
  • goal Yonatthan Rak 47'
  • yellowcard Walter Gargano 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Jun 19, 2022 9.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
  • Eduardo Darias 14' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Gonzalez 54' yellowcard
  • Ramon Arias 76' goal
  • Guillermo Cotugno 87' yellowcard
  • Paulo Lima 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Musto 44'
  • yellowcard Edgarl Elizalde 45'
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 60'
  • goal Ignacio Laquintana 74'
  • redcard Edgarl Elizalde 80'
  • goal Pablo Ceppelini 88'
  • yellowcard Kevin Dawson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Hernan Menosse 90'+3'