Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.