Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Santos
33.71% ( 0)	27.44%	38.85% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.69% (

-0)

56.31% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66% (

-0)

77.34% (

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

31.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

-0)

67.74% (

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

-0)

28.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11% (

-0.01)

63.89% (

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 33.7%

Santos 38.85%

Draw 27.44%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.7%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.85%

How you voted: Vasco vs Santos

Vasco da Gama

16.7%

Draw

50.0%

Santos

33.3%

Head to Head

Oct 1, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 25

Santos

4-1

Vasco

Leonardo (15' pen., 45+3'), Rincon (45+1'), Soteldo (75')
Dodo (24'), Rincon (45+6'), Paulo (60'), Soteldo (60'), Moreira (90+8')
Lima (60'), Fernandez (61')

Vegetti (31')
Ferreira (55')
Medel (60')

May 14, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 6

Vasco

0-1

Santos

Washington (29')

Dec 20, 2020 7pm

Gameweek 26

Vasco

1-0

Santos