Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Janio de Moraes
Vasco da Gama

Nova Iguacu
0 - 3
Vasco


de Freitas Pages (18'), de Freitas Pages (18'), de Freitas Pages (18'), Lemos Haical Jacob (64'), Lemos Haical Jacob (64'), Lemos Haical Jacob (64'), Guilherme Fraga (86'), Guilherme Fraga (86'), Guilherme Fraga (86')
FT(HT: 0-9)
Rayan (10', 10', 10'), Coutinho (21' pen., 21' pen., 21' pen., 39', 39', 39')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Nova Iguacu and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nova Iguacu

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Last Game: Barcelona RO 1-4 Nova Iguacu
Wednesday, February 26 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Rondonopolis 0-3 Vasco
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nova Iguacu had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nova Iguacu win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Nova IguacuDrawVasco da Gama
19.03% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)25.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)55.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.88% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)79.37% (0.012 0.01)
Nova Iguacu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.39% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)45.61% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.58% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)81.41% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nova Iguacu 19.03%
    Vasco da Gama 55.3%
    Draw 25.66%
Nova IguacuDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 19.03%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 15.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.3%