Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Aluizio Ferreira de Oliveira

Barcelona RO
1 - 4
Nova Iguacu

Paulo Siqueira Ribeiro (2')
(38'), (55'), (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pedra (4'), Barbosa Pinheiro (23'), Neves Rangel (51'), Junio Santos da Silva (80')
Guilherme Fraga (90')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Barcelona RO and Nova Iguacu.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nova Iguacu win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Barcelona RO had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nova Iguacu win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.03%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Barcelona RO win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nova Iguacu would win this match.

Result
Barcelona RODrawNova Iguacu
13.78%24.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)62.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 37.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.82% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barcelona RO Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)53.86% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)87.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Nova Iguacu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.48% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona RO 13.78%
    Nova Iguacu 62.08%
    Draw 24.12%
Barcelona RODrawNova Iguacu
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-1 @ 3.29%
2-0 @ 2.01%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.78%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 2.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 17.16%
0-2 @ 14.03%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.65%
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 62.08%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Barcelona RO