Copa Sudamericana
Apr 2, 2025 11.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
  • Gregorio Rodriguez 39' goal
  • Percy Liza 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matias Fernando Lazo Zapata 77' yellowcard
  • Facundo Castro 80' goal
  • Kenji Cabrera 90' goal
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 3'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 27'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 32'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Lemos 45'+4'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 51'
  • yellowcard Oliveira 90'+6'

Melgar vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

All competitions

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

Melgar 42.78% (+0.04)
Draw 26.42% (+0.01)
Vasco da Gama 30.81% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.38% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 74.62% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.6% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.4% (+0.02)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5 75.43% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.94% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.06% (-0.01)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 68.32% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.68% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.1% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Melgar 42.77%
Draw 26.41%
Vasco da Gama 30.81%
Melgar
1-0 @ 10.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.41%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 8.95% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.81%