Copa Libertadores
-
6'
-
Sergio Araujo
12'
-
Gaston Gimenez
42'
-
Federico Carrizo
56'
-
Cecilio Dominguez
60'
-
Gustavo Velazquez
66'
-
Francisco da Costa
70'
-
Alexis Adrian Farina Romero
79'
-
Tomas Martinez
45'+6'
-
Percy Liza
89'
Cerro Porteno vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
Result
Cerro Porteno
39.42%
▲
(+0.42)
Draw
27.78%
▲
(+0.08)
Melgar
32.8%
▼
(-0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
48.08%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.27%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
57.73%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 3.5
21.53%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
78.47%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 4.5
9.23%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
90.77%
▲
(+0.18)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5
71.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
28.55%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
35.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
64.34%
▼
(-0.08)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
67.3%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
32.7%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 1.5
30.75%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
69.25%
▲
(+0.60)
Score analysis
Cerro Porteno
39.41%
Draw
27.78%
Melgar
32.8%
Cerro Porteno
1-0
@
11.7%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.41%
2-1 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.41%
Draw
1-1
@
13.08%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
0-0 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
Melgar
0-1
@
10.43%
1-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.8%
1-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.8%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
Mar 5, 2025 10.00pm
0
1
HT :
0
1
FT
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
-
Carlos Caceda
31'
-
Robert Piris
34'
-
Gatito Fernandez Torres
73'
-
Guillermo Benitez
86'