Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin

Melgar
1 - 1
Aurora

Bordacahar (7', 7')
Gonzalez (72'), Gonzalez (72'), Cuesta (90+3'), Galeano (90+7'), Cuesta (90+3'), Galeano (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Blanco (2', 2')
Torrico (24'), Torrico (24'), Robles (36'), Robles (36'), Blanco (72'), Blanco (72'), Serginho (90+3'), Serginho (90+3')
Robles (67'), Robles (67'), Blanco (81'), Blanco (81')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Melgar and Aurora.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

Last Game: Aurora 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, February 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Aurora

Last Game: Aurora 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, February 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Aurora
70.93% ( -0.01)	17.99% ( 0.01)	11.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

-0.08)

43.31% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29% (

-0.07)

65.71% (

0.07)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.06% (

-0.02)

10.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.86% (

-0.05)

35.14% (

0.05)

Aurora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.43% (

-0.06)

47.57% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.08% (

-0.04)

82.91% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Melgar 70.92%

Aurora 11.08%

Draw 17.99%

Melgar	Draw	Aurora
2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 70.92%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.99%	0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.08%