Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin

Monagas
0 - 4
Cerro Porteno


Manrique (13'), Lovera (27')
FT(HT: 0-3)
da Costa (14'), Benitez (33'), Dominguez (45+3'), Viera (63')
da Costa (13'), Viera (78')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Monagas and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monagas

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Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Monagas
Wednesday, February 12 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Friday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Monagas win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
MonagasDrawCerro Porteno
30.11% (-0.14 -0.14)27.25% (0.053999999999998 0.05)42.64% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.51% (-0.255 -0.25)56.49% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51% (-0.204 -0.2)77.49% (0.206 0.21)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (-0.239 -0.24)33.98% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (-0.259 -0.26)70.66% (0.261 0.26)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)26.21% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)61.3% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Monagas 30.11%
    Cerro Porteno 42.63%
    Draw 27.25%
MonagasDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.92% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.63%

Head to Head
May 23, 2018 11.15pm
-
Cerro Porteno
3-2
Monagas
Churin (6' pen.), Valdez (48' pen., 92')
Escobar (56')
Rojas (71'), Cadiz (80')
Rodriguez (85')
Feb 27, 2018 10.15pm
-
Monagas
0-2
Cerro Porteno

Vogliotti (22'), Lencinas (39'), Trejo (51'), Garcia (69')
Vogliotti (75')
Insaurralde (27'), Caceres (53')
Oviedo (35'), Pallas (61')