Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 27, 2025 at 10pm UK

Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno
3 - 1
Monagas

(Cerro Porteno win 7-1 on aggregate)

Basilio Leon Blanco (19'), Morel (45+4'), Viera (51')
Herminio Nunez Duarte (45'), Gimenez (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Abdiel Rodriguez Mena (4')
Iniguez (22'), Jose De Jesus Perez Piamo (48')
Jose De Jesus Perez Piamo (78')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Monagas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Monagas 0-4 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Monagas

Last Game: Monagas 0-4 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Monagas
48.78%	25.74% ( 0.18)	25.47% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 50.04% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-0.81)

53.27% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.69)

74.83% (

0.69)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.34)

21.85% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9% (

-0.51)

55.09% (

0.51)

Monagas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.03% (

-0.59)

35.96% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.25% (

-0.61)

72.74% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 48.78%

Monagas 25.47%

Draw 25.74%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Monagas
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.78%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.47%