-
26'
-
Julian Quinones
45'
-
Julian Quinones
45'
-
Gustavo Ramirez
87'
-
Gustavo Ramirez
87'
-
Kenji Cabrera
36'
-
Kenji Cabrera
36'
-
Walter Tandazo
49'
-
Walter Tandazo
49'
-
Kenji Cabrera
70'
-
Kenji Cabrera
70'
-
Carlos Caceda
86'
-
Carlos Caceda
86'
Deportes Tolima vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result
Deportes Tolima
46.69%
▼
(-0.41)
Draw
28.09%
▲
(+0.12)
Melgar
25.22%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
43.43%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.29%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
61.7%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
18.48%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
81.52%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
7.48%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
92.52%
▲
(+0.09)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5
73.46%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
26.54%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
38.25%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
61.74%
▲
(+0.40)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
59.12%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
40.87%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
22.56%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
77.44%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Deportes Tolima
46.69%
Draw
28.07%
Melgar
25.22%
Deportes Tolima
1-0
@
14.39%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 46.69%
2-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 46.69%
Draw
1-1
@
12.87%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.84% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.07%
0-0 @ 10.84% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.07%
Melgar
0-1
@
9.71%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.22%
1-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.22%