Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Flamengo

Gremio
0 - 2
Flamengo


Edenilson (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De Arrascaeta (4', 67')
Pulgar (30'), de la Cruz (83')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Atletico Grau
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 C. Cordoba
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawFlamengo
28.53% (-0.381 -0.38)25.01% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.46% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.591 -0.59)48.28% (0.592 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (-0.544 -0.54)70.43% (0.54300000000001 0.54)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)30.88% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (-0.689 -0.69)67.17% (0.68899999999999 0.69)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.114 -0.11)20.82% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)53.49% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 28.53%
    Flamengo 46.46%
    Draw 25%
GremioDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 10.09% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.46%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
3-2
Flamengo
Cristaldo (12'), Braithwaite (55'), Costa (83')
Pedro (80')
Goncalves (25'), Gabriel Cunha Teresa (90')
Moises de Lima (58')
Jun 14, 2024 12am
Gameweek 8
Flamengo
2-1
Gremio
Araujo (42', 67')
Pedro (32'), Tite (33'), Wesley (45+2')
Edenilson (90+6')
Pedro (46'), Galdino (55'), Kannemann (90+3')
Oct 26, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 29
Gremio
3-2
Flamengo
Ferreira (76'), Ribeiro (81'), Henrique (86')
Kannemann (26'), Ferreira (47'), Geromel (78')
Everton (42'), Araujo (89')
Pulgar (24'), Pereira (64'), Araujo (84'), Ribeiro (90')
Aug 17, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Flamengo
1-0
Gremio
De Arrascaeta (74' pen.)
Pulgar (11'), Bruno (45+1'), Gerson (66'), Araujo (83')

Pedro (22'), Ely (72'), Pedro (75'), Suarez (75'), Reinaldo (90'), Villasanti (90+5')
Jul 27, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Gremio
0-2
Flamengo

Uvini (32'), Kannemann (51'), Ferreira (54'), Reinaldo (79')
Kannemann (59')
Barbosa (34'), Alves (68' og.)
Pereira (33'), Wesley (35'), Rodrigues de Souza (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133


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